Negotiating leverage
40
moderate leverage / 100
~51 days of national supply and listings typically ~2% above fair price — moderate negotiating leverage.
Ridekick price intelligence
A mileage-adjusted read of comparable active listings—not a quote for a specific VIN, trim, condition, or location.
Fair market price
$31,448
Inside the middle half of current listings.
Price intelligence
Fair price is in the typical market range
Middle 50% of active listings
Mileage-adjusted estimate
7 sourced trims when new
Buyer context
Signals to help you frame a conversation—not a promise about a particular vehicle or dealer.
Negotiating leverage
40
moderate leverage / 100
~51 days of national supply and listings typically ~2% above fair price — moderate negotiating leverage.
National supply
51
days of supply
Balanced market
Supply and demand are roughly balanced for the 2021 Lexus Es.
$36,708–$38,304
Estimated dealer invoice — about $39,900 MSRP minus a typical 4–8% manufacturer margin.
An estimate, not a sourced figure. Actual dealer invoice varies with manufacturer incentives, holdback, and regional pricing.
| Trim | Fair price | MSRP | Est. dealer cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| 250 | $28,887 | $40,000 | $36,800–$38,400 |
| 350 | $31,710 | $39,900 | $36,708–$38,304 |
| F SPORT | $32,558 | $45,700 | $42,044–$43,872 |
| 350 Luxury | $37,331 | $45,100 | $41,492–$43,296 |
| 350 Ultra Luxury | $40,085 | $49,000 | $45,080–$47,040 |
| 250-luxury | — | $45,100 | $41,492–$43,296 |
| 250-ultra-luxury | — | $48,900 | $44,988–$46,944 |
Trim comparison
250
$28,887
250: fair price $28,887, original MSRP $40,000, estimated dealer cost $36,800 to $38,400.
350
$31,710
350: fair price $31,710, original MSRP $39,900, estimated dealer cost $36,708 to $38,304.
F SPORT
$32,558
F SPORT: fair price $32,558, original MSRP $45,700, estimated dealer cost $42,044 to $43,872.
350 Luxury
$37,331
350 Luxury: fair price $37,331, original MSRP $45,100, estimated dealer cost $41,492 to $43,296.
350 Ultra Luxury
$40,085
350 Ultra Luxury: fair price $40,085, original MSRP $49,000, estimated dealer cost $45,080 to $47,040.
250-luxury
—
250-luxury: fair price not available, original MSRP $45,100, estimated dealer cost $41,492 to $43,296.
250-ultra-luxury
—
250-ultra-luxury: fair price not available, original MSRP $48,900, estimated dealer cost $44,988 to $46,944.
All marks use the same price scale. Dealer cost is an estimate; original MSRP and fair price are shown for context, not as a guarantee of a particular vehicle’s price.
Out-the-door for a 2021 Lexus Es runs about $31,759 in MT to $34,559 in NJ — fair price plus state tax, title, registration, and a typical dealer doc fee.
| State | Sales/use tax | Doc + title + reg | Out-the-door |
|---|---|---|---|
| CA | $2,280 | $110+ | $33,838 |
| TX | $1,966 | $332 | $33,746 |
| FL | $1,887 | $1,074+ | $34,409 |
| NY | $1,258 | $371 | $33,077 |
| PA | $1,887 | $587 | $33,922 |
| IL | $1,966 | $683 | $34,097 |
| OH | $1,808 | $444 | $33,700 |
| GA | $2,201 | $637 | $34,286 |
| NC | $943 | $793 | $33,184 |
| WA | $2,044 | $215+ | $33,707 |
| OR | $0 | $525 | $31,973 |
Estimates using each state's base tax rate. Local (city/county) taxes can add 1–3% in many areas, dealer doc fees vary, and some states base registration on vehicle value or weight (shown with a "+"). Trade-in tax credits are not included.
Out-the-door price by state: California, Texas, Florida, New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Ohio, Georgia, North Carolina, Washington, Oregon
1 open NHTSA recall on record for the 2021 Lexus Es.
AIR BAGS:SENSOR:OCCUPANT CLASSIFICATION
Toyota Motor Engineering & Manufacturing (Toyota) is recalling certain 2020-2021 Avalon, Avalon Hybrid, Corolla, Highlander, Highlander Hybrid, RAV4, RAV4 Hybrid, Lexus ES350, Lexus RX350, Lexus RX450H, 2021 Sienna Hybrid, Lexus ES250, 2020-2022 Camry, Camry Hybrid, and ES300H vehicles. A short circuit may develop in the Occupant Classification System (OCS) sensor, preventing the front passenger air bag from deploying.
Remedy: Dealers will inspect and replace the sensor as necessary, free of charge. Interim letters notifying owners of the safety risk were mailed in February 2024. Some final remedy owner letters were mailed October 31, 2024. Letters will continue to be mailed in phases through January 2026. Owners may contact Toyota customer service at 1-800-331-4331. Toyota's number for this recall is 23TB15/23TA15 Lexus 23LB03/23LA03.
Campaign 23V865000 · 20/12/2023
Source: NHTSA. Contact your dealer to schedule a free recall repair.
A fair, mileage-adjusted price is about $31,448, within a typical market range of $29,382 to $35,191.
Yes — its original MSRP was about $39,900, so a fair used price is roughly $8,452 below MSRP.
Out-the-door (price plus state tax, title, registration, and a typical doc fee) runs about $31,759 in MT to $34,559 in NJ, depending on your state. Local taxes can add more.
There are about 51 days of national market supply for the 2021 Lexus Es — Supply and demand are roughly balanced for the 2021 Lexus Es.
Negotiating leverage rates 40/100 (moderate). ~51 days of national supply and listings typically ~2% above fair price — moderate negotiating leverage.
The estimated dealer cost (invoice) is roughly $36,708–$38,304 — its $39,900 MSRP minus a typical 4–8% margin. An estimate; actual invoice varies.
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Prices are computed from live market listings, adjusted for mileage, and aggregated by trim · updated 8/4/2026. Estimates only; your price depends on condition, options, and location.