Real price data
What should you pay for a 2021 Lexus Es?
Original MSRP
$39,900
When new
Fair market price
$31,581
Mileage-adjusted
Below MSRP
$8,319
A fair used price
Where prices land
25th $29,000 · 75th $35,113 · MSRP $39,900
Spread of current 2021 Lexus Es listings · 25th–75th percentile marked.
Negotiating leverage
64
out of 100
strong leverage
~58 days of national supply — strong leverage to negotiate.
Ridekick's negotiating-leverage score blends national Market Day Supply with how far listings sit above the mileage-adjusted fair price. Higher means more room to negotiate.
Market demand & negotiating leverage
58days of supply
Balanced marketSupply and demand are roughly balanced for the 2021 Lexus Es.
National Market Day Supply — how long it would take to sell the current used 2021 Lexus Es inventory at the recent sales rate (lower means it sells faster). Source: MarketCheck.
Estimated dealer cost (invoice)
$36,708–$38,304
Estimated dealer invoice — about $39,900 MSRP minus a typical 4–8% manufacturer margin.
An estimate, not a sourced figure. Actual dealer invoice varies with manufacturer incentives, holdback, and regional pricing.
Fair price by trim
| Trim | Fair price | MSRP | Est. dealer cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| 250 | $29,024 | $39,900 | $36,708–$38,304 |
| 350 | $31,568 | $39,900 | $36,708–$38,304 |
| 350 Luxury | $33,099 | $45,100 | $41,492–$43,296 |
| F SPORT | $33,189 | $45,800 | $42,136–$43,968 |
| 350 Ultra Luxury | $39,176 | $49,000 | $45,080–$47,040 |
| 250-luxury | — | $45,100 | $41,492–$43,296 |
- 250
- $29,024
- 350
- $31,568
- 350 Luxury
- $33,099
- F SPORT
- $33,189
- 350 Ultra Luxury
- $39,176
Safety & recalls
1 open NHTSA recall on record for the 2021 Lexus Es.
AIR BAGS:SENSOR:OCCUPANT CLASSIFICATION
Toyota Motor Engineering & Manufacturing (Toyota) is recalling certain 2020-2021 Avalon, Avalon Hybrid, Corolla, Highlander, Highlander Hybrid, RAV4, RAV4 Hybrid, Lexus ES350, Lexus RX350, Lexus RX450H, 2021 Sienna Hybrid, Lexus ES250, 2020-2022 Camry, Camry Hybrid, and ES300H vehicles. A short circuit may develop in the Occupant Classification System (OCS) sensor, preventing the front passenger air bag from deploying.
Remedy: Dealers will inspect and replace the sensor as necessary, free of charge. Interim letters notifying owners of the safety risk were mailed in February 2024. Some final remedy owner letters were mailed October 31, 2024. Letters will continue to be mailed in phases through January 2026. Owners may contact Toyota customer service at 1-800-331-4331. Toyota's number for this recall is 23TB15/23TA15 Lexus 23LB03/23LA03.
Campaign 23V865000 · 20/12/2023
Source: NHTSA. Contact your dealer to schedule a free recall repair.
Frequently asked questions
What is a fair price for a 2021 Lexus Es?
A fair, mileage-adjusted price is about $31,581, within a typical market range of $29,000 to $35,113.
Is the 2021 Lexus Es cheaper than MSRP?
Yes — its original MSRP was about $39,900, so a fair used price is roughly $8,319 below MSRP.
Is now a good time to buy a 2021 Lexus Es?
There are about 58 days of national market supply for the 2021 Lexus Es — Supply and demand are roughly balanced for the 2021 Lexus Es.
How much can you negotiate on a 2021 Lexus Es?
Negotiating leverage rates 64/100 (strong). ~58 days of national supply — strong leverage to negotiate.
What does the dealer pay for a 2021 Lexus Es?
The estimated dealer cost (invoice) is roughly $36,708–$38,304 — its $39,900 MSRP minus a typical 4–8% margin. An estimate; actual invoice varies.
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Prices are computed from live market listings, adjusted for mileage, and aggregated by trim · updated 6/23/2026. Estimates only; your price depends on condition, options, and location.