Market retention
Ford F-150 Lightning depreciation after 4 years.
A 2022 Ford F-150 Lightning is currently worth about $39,817—72% of the newest year's market value.
Observed value after 4 years
$39,817
28% below the newest year's price in this study.
Newest market year
2025
Fair price $55,356
Observed value after 4 years
$39,817
28% below the newest year's price
Value retained
72%
Of the newest year's price
Observed market data
Value retention by model year.
Each bar compares a year's current fair price with the newest Ford F-150 Lightning in this study.
2025
1 years old
$55,356 100%2024
2 years old
$50,631 91%2023
3 years old
$44,853 81%2022
4 years old
$39,817 72%
Need the numbers behind this chart? Download the observed data and methodology (JSON).
How to read this
This study compares similarly adjusted listings from different model years today. It shows the shape of today's market—not a guarantee about a specific vehicle's future value.
Long-term estimate
12-year value outlook.
Observed rows use current listings. Later rows extend the measured annual decline and are clearly marked as projected.
| Age (yrs) | Model year | Est. miles | Resale value | Retention | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2025 | 12,000 | $55,356 | 100% | Market |
| 2 | 2024 | 24,000 | $50,631 | 91% | Market |
| 3 | 2023 | 36,000 | $44,853 | 81% | Market |
| 4 | 2022 | 48,000 | $39,817 | 72% | Market |
| 5 | 2021 | 60,000 | $35,514 | 64% | Projected |
| 6 | 2020 | 72,000 | $31,784 | 57% | Projected |
| 7 | 2019 | 84,000 | $28,446 | 51% | Projected |
| 8 | 2018 | 96,000 | $25,458 | 46% | Projected |
| 9 | 2017 | 108,000 | $22,784 | 41% | Projected |
| 10 | 2016 | 120,000 | $20,391 | 37% | Projected |
| 11 | 2015 | 132,000 | $18,250 | 33% | Projected |
| 12 | 2014 | 144,000 | $16,333 | 30% | Projected |
Mileage assumes ~12,000 mi/yr. Projected values use the fitted depreciation rate and are floored at 15% of the newest year's value; they are estimates, not guarantees.
Common questions
Ford F-150 Lightning depreciation FAQ.
How fast does the Ford F-150 Lightning depreciate?
About 10.5% per year, based on a comparison of mileage-adjusted market prices across model years.
What is a Ford F-150 Lightning worth after 4 years?
A 2022 Ford F-150 Lightning is worth roughly $39,817—about 72% of the newest year's fair price.
What will a Ford F-150 Lightning be worth at 12 years old?
Projecting the 10.5%-per-year rate forward, a 12-year-old Ford F-150 Lightning (around 144,000 miles) would be worth about $16,333—roughly 30% of the newest year's value. A projection, not a guarantee.
Cross-sectional depreciation estimate from live market listings, adjusted for mileage · updated 8/8/2026. Estimates only; your car's value depends on condition, options, and location.