Market retention
BMW 4 Series depreciation after 10 years.
A 2016 BMW 4 Series is currently worth about $12,460—26% of the newest year's market value.
Observed value after 10 years
$12,460
74% below the newest year's price in this study.
Newest market year
2025
Fair price $48,726
Observed value after 10 years
$12,460
74% below the newest year's price
Value retained
26%
Of the newest year's price
Observed market data
Value retention by model year.
Each bar compares a year's current fair price with the newest BMW 4 Series in this study.
2025
1 years old
$48,726 100%2024
2 years old
$44,047 90%2023
3 years old
$39,741 82%2022
4 years old
$35,404 73%2021
5 years old
$32,081 66%2020
6 years old
$22,117 45%2019
7 years old
$18,716 38%2018
8 years old
$15,859 33%2017
9 years old
$13,698 28%2016
10 years old
$12,460 26%
Need the numbers behind this chart? Download the observed data and methodology (JSON).
How to read this
This study compares similarly adjusted listings from different model years today. It shows the shape of today's market—not a guarantee about a specific vehicle's future value.
Long-term estimate
12-year value outlook.
Observed rows use current listings. Later rows extend the measured annual decline and are clearly marked as projected.
| Age (yrs) | Model year | Est. miles | Resale value | Retention | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2025 | 12,000 | $48,726 | 100% | Market |
| 2 | 2024 | 24,000 | $44,047 | 90% | Market |
| 3 | 2023 | 36,000 | $39,741 | 82% | Market |
| 4 | 2022 | 48,000 | $35,404 | 73% | Market |
| 5 | 2021 | 60,000 | $32,081 | 66% | Market |
| 6 | 2020 | 72,000 | $22,117 | 45% | Market |
| 7 | 2019 | 84,000 | $18,716 | 38% | Market |
| 8 | 2018 | 96,000 | $15,859 | 33% | Market |
| 9 | 2017 | 108,000 | $13,698 | 28% | Market |
| 10 | 2016 | 120,000 | $12,460 | 26% | Market |
| 11 | 2015 | 132,000 | $9,300 | 19% | Projected |
| 12 | 2014 | 144,000 | $7,881 | 16% | Projected |
Mileage assumes ~12,000 mi/yr. Projected values use the fitted depreciation rate and are floored at 15% of the newest year's value; they are estimates, not guarantees.
Common questions
BMW 4 Series depreciation FAQ.
How fast does the BMW 4 Series depreciate?
About 15.3% per year, based on a comparison of mileage-adjusted market prices across model years.
What is a BMW 4 Series worth after 10 years?
A 2016 BMW 4 Series is worth roughly $12,460—about 26% of the newest year's fair price.
What will a BMW 4 Series be worth at 12 years old?
Projecting the 15.3%-per-year rate forward, a 12-year-old BMW 4 Series (around 144,000 miles) would be worth about $7,881—roughly 16% of the newest year's value. A projection, not a guarantee.
Cross-sectional depreciation estimate from live market listings, adjusted for mileage · updated 8/6/2026. Estimates only; your car's value depends on condition, options, and location.