Market retention
Lexus Es depreciation after 10 years.
A 2016 Lexus Es is currently worth about $17,769—38% of the newest year's market value.
Observed value after 10 years
$17,769
62% below the newest year's price in this study.
Newest market year
2025
Fair price $46,180
Observed value after 10 years
$17,769
62% below the newest year's price
Value retained
38%
Of the newest year's price
Observed market data
Value retention by model year.
Each bar compares a year's current fair price with the newest Lexus Es in this study.
2025
1 years old
$46,180 100%2024
2 years old
$42,781 93%2023
3 years old
$38,881 84%2022
4 years old
$36,036 78%2021
5 years old
$31,448 68%2020
6 years old
$29,669 64%2019
7 years old
$26,445 57%2018
8 years old
$21,398 46%2017
9 years old
$19,877 43%2016
10 years old
$17,769 38%
Need the numbers behind this chart? Download the observed data and methodology (JSON).
How to read this
This study compares similarly adjusted listings from different model years today. It shows the shape of today's market—not a guarantee about a specific vehicle's future value.
Long-term estimate
12-year value outlook.
Observed rows use current listings. Later rows extend the measured annual decline and are clearly marked as projected.
| Age (yrs) | Model year | Est. miles | Resale value | Retention | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2025 | 12,000 | $46,180 | 100% | Market |
| 2 | 2024 | 24,000 | $42,781 | 93% | Market |
| 3 | 2023 | 36,000 | $38,881 | 84% | Market |
| 4 | 2022 | 48,000 | $36,036 | 78% | Market |
| 5 | 2021 | 60,000 | $31,448 | 68% | Market |
| 6 | 2020 | 72,000 | $29,669 | 64% | Market |
| 7 | 2019 | 84,000 | $26,445 | 57% | Market |
| 8 | 2018 | 96,000 | $21,398 | 46% | Market |
| 9 | 2017 | 108,000 | $19,877 | 43% | Market |
| 10 | 2016 | 120,000 | $17,769 | 38% | Market |
| 11 | 2015 | 132,000 | $15,574 | 34% | Projected |
| 12 | 2014 | 144,000 | $13,970 | 30% | Projected |
Mileage assumes ~12,000 mi/yr. Projected values use the fitted depreciation rate and are floored at 15% of the newest year's value; they are estimates, not guarantees.
Common questions
Lexus Es depreciation FAQ.
How fast does the Lexus Es depreciate?
About 10.3% per year, based on a comparison of mileage-adjusted market prices across model years.
What is a Lexus Es worth after 10 years?
A 2016 Lexus Es is worth roughly $17,769—about 38% of the newest year's fair price.
What will a Lexus Es be worth at 12 years old?
Projecting the 10.3%-per-year rate forward, a 12-year-old Lexus Es (around 144,000 miles) would be worth about $13,970—roughly 30% of the newest year's value. A projection, not a guarantee.
Cross-sectional depreciation estimate from live market listings, adjusted for mileage · updated 8/9/2026. Estimates only; your car's value depends on condition, options, and location.