Market retention
Toyota Avalon depreciation after 10 years.
A 2016 Toyota Avalon is currently worth about $15,605—51% of the newest year's market value.
Observed value after 10 years
$15,605
49% below the newest year's price in this study.
Newest market year
2022
Fair price $30,345
Observed value after 10 years
$15,605
49% below the newest year's price
Value retained
51%
Of the newest year's price
Observed market data
Value retention by model year.
Each bar compares a year's current fair price with the newest Toyota Avalon in this study.
2022
4 years old
$30,345 100%2021
5 years old
$29,252 96%2020
6 years old
$27,778 92%2019
7 years old
$24,011 79%2018
8 years old
$19,303 64%2017
9 years old
$17,582 58%2016
10 years old
$15,605 51%
Need the numbers behind this chart? Download the observed data and methodology (JSON).
How to read this
This study compares similarly adjusted listings from different model years today. It shows the shape of today's market—not a guarantee about a specific vehicle's future value.
Long-term estimate
12-year value outlook.
Observed rows use current listings. Later rows extend the measured annual decline and are clearly marked as projected.
| Age (yrs) | Model year | Est. miles | Resale value | Retention | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2022 | 48,000 | $30,345 | 100% | Market |
| 5 | 2021 | 60,000 | $29,252 | 96% | Market |
| 6 | 2020 | 72,000 | $27,778 | 92% | Market |
| 7 | 2019 | 84,000 | $24,011 | 79% | Market |
| 8 | 2018 | 96,000 | $19,303 | 64% | Market |
| 9 | 2017 | 108,000 | $17,582 | 58% | Market |
| 10 | 2016 | 120,000 | $15,605 | 51% | Market |
| 11 | 2015 | 132,000 | $13,044 | 43% | Projected |
| 12 | 2014 | 144,000 | $11,562 | 38% | Projected |
| 13 | 2013 | 156,000 | $10,248 | 34% | Projected |
| 14 | 2012 | 168,000 | $9,084 | 30% | Projected |
| 15 | 2011 | 180,000 | $8,051 | 27% | Projected |
Mileage assumes ~12,000 mi/yr. Projected values use the fitted depreciation rate and are floored at 15% of the newest year's value; they are estimates, not guarantees.
Common questions
Toyota Avalon depreciation FAQ.
How fast does the Toyota Avalon depreciate?
About 11.4% per year, based on a comparison of mileage-adjusted market prices across model years.
What is a Toyota Avalon worth after 10 years?
A 2016 Toyota Avalon is worth roughly $15,605—about 51% of the newest year's fair price.
What will a Toyota Avalon be worth at 15 years old?
Projecting the 11.4%-per-year rate forward, a 15-year-old Toyota Avalon (around 180,000 miles) would be worth about $8,051—roughly 27% of the newest year's value. A projection, not a guarantee.
Cross-sectional depreciation estimate from live market listings, adjusted for mileage · updated 8/4/2026. Estimates only; your car's value depends on condition, options, and location.