How fast does the Toyota Avalon depreciate?
Average depreciation
13.4%per year
The newest Toyota Avalon (2021) has a fair price of about $29,383. Older model years retain progressively less of that value.
Value retention by model year
| Model year | Age (yrs) | Fair price | Retention |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 5 | $29,383 | 100% |
| 2018 | 8 | $19,092 | 65% |
This is a cross-sectional estimate: it compares the mileage-adjusted market prices of different model years today, not the resale history of a single car. Actual depreciation depends on mileage, condition, trim, and market shifts.
12-year depreciation forecast
Projected resale value and typical accumulated mileage for the Toyota Avalon by vehicle age. Rows marked Market are backed by current listings; Projected rows extrapolate the 13.4%-per-year rate.
| Age (yrs) | Model year | Est. miles | Resale value | Retention | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2021 | 60,000 | $29,383 | 100% | Market |
| 6 | 2020 | 72,000 | $25,450 | 87% | Projected |
| 7 | 2019 | 84,000 | $22,043 | 75% | Projected |
| 8 | 2018 | 96,000 | $19,092 | 65% | Market |
| 9 | 2017 | 108,000 | $16,536 | 56% | Projected |
| 10 | 2016 | 120,000 | $14,323 | 49% | Projected |
| 11 | 2015 | 132,000 | $12,405 | 42% | Projected |
| 12 | 2014 | 144,000 | $10,745 | 37% | Projected |
| 13 | 2013 | 156,000 | $9,306 | 32% | Projected |
| 14 | 2012 | 168,000 | $8,061 | 27% | Projected |
| 15 | 2011 | 180,000 | $6,981 | 24% | Projected |
| 16 | 2010 | 192,000 | $6,047 | 21% | Projected |
Mileage assumes ~12,000 mi/yr. Projected values use the fitted depreciation rate and are floored at 15% of the newest year's value; they are estimates, not guarantees.
Frequently asked questions
How fast does the Toyota Avalon depreciate?
About 13.4% per year, based on a comparison of mileage-adjusted market prices across model years.
What is a Toyota Avalon worth after 8 years?
A 2018 Toyota Avalon is worth roughly $19,092 — about 65% of the newest year's fair price.
What will a Toyota Avalon be worth at 16 years old?
Projecting the 13.4%-per-year rate forward, a 16-year-old Toyota Avalon (around 192,000 miles) would be worth about $6,047 — roughly 21% of the newest year's value. A projection, not a guarantee.
Cross-sectional depreciation estimate from live market listings, adjusted for mileage · updated 6/23/2026. Estimates only; your car's value depends on condition, options, and location.